A homebuyer on a $3,000 budget has gained $26,000 since last year as mortgage rates drop to the low-6% range. But pending home sales are still slipping.
SEATTLE — Oct. 23, 2025 — Lower mortgage rates are curbing growth in monthly housing payments. The typical U.S. monthly payment is $2,556, up 0.6% year over year, the smallest increase in three months. That’s according to a new report from Redfin, the real estate brokerage powered by Rocket.
The daily average mortgage rate dropped to 6.17% this week, near the lowest level in three years. A homebuyer on a $3,000 budget can afford a $473,750 home at today’s mortgage rate, compared to the $447,750 home they could have bought one year ago, when rates were around 6.85%. Compared to one month ago, buyers have gained $9,500 in purchasing power; they could have bought a $464,250 home with rates sitting near 6.4%.
Despite more purchasing power, would-be buyers remain on the sidelines
Pending U.S. home sales fell 0.7% year over year during the four weeks ending October 19, the third straight week of declines.
There are a few reasons buyers are wary. One, the forces pushing mortgage rates down—economic uncertainty and political tensions—are also making some house hunters feel uneasy about making a major purchase. Buyers are also facing stubbornly high prices, with the median home-sale price up 2% year over year, the biggest increase in six months.
The selling side is holding up better. New listings rose 4.6%, the biggest increase in nearly five months, as sellers hope buyers pounce on lower rates. Nationwide, there are half a million more home sellers than buyers.
The big gap between home sellers and buyers, along with the improvement in purchasing power, make it a good time for buyers who can afford today’s high housing costs to jump into the market. Redfin agents in many parts of the country report that it feels like a buyer’s market, with sellers open to lowering the sale price and providing concessions.
“Buyers are scoring deals, especially those who can pay all cash and/or those who are open to new construction,” said Amanda Peterson, a Redfin Premier agent in Dallas. “One recent all-cash buyer paid $500,000 for a condo that was appraised at $685,000—and the seller agreed to pay upfront for six months of pricey HOA dues. And builders are offering steep discounts on new homes, especially in areas where they already have a lot of inventory and are still actively building. Builders are dropping prices, giving up to $20,000 in concessions, throwing in appliances, and buying down mortgage rates, sometimes to below 4%.”
For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.
Leading indicators
| Indicators of homebuying demand and activity | ||||
| Value (if applicable) | Recent change | Year-over-year change | Source | |
| Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate | 6.17% (Oct. 22) | Near 3-year now | Down from 6.82% | Mortgage News Daily |
| Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate | 6.27% (week ending Oct. 16) | Near lowest level in a year | Down from 6.44% | Freddie Mac |
| Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) | Down 5% from a week earlier (as of week ending Oct. 17) | Up 20% | Mortgage Bankers Association | |
| Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index | Up about 2% from a month earlier (as of week ending Oct. 19) | Down 12% | A measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents | |
| Google searches of “homes for sale” | Unchanged from a month earlier (as of Oct. 19) | Up 20% | Google Trends | |
| Touring activity | Up 12% from the start of the year (as of Oct. 19) | At this time last year, it was up 2% from the start of 2024 | ShowingTime | |
Key housing-market data
| U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending Oct. 19, 2025
Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas and are based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision. |
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| Four weeks ending Oct. 19, 2025 | Year-over-year change | Notes | |
| Median sale price | $391,250 | 2% | Biggest increase in 6 months |
| Median asking price | $399,675 | 2.9% | Biggest increase in 5 months |
| Median monthly mortgage payment | $2,556 at a 6.27% mortgage rate | 0.6% | Nearly $300 below May’s record high |
| Pending sales | 77,167 | -0.7% | Biggest decline in 4 months |
| New listings | 88,195 | 4.6% | Biggest increase in nearly 5 months |
| Active listings | 1,206,191 | 7.1% | Smallest increase since Feb. 2024 |
| Months of supply | 4.6 | +0.4 pts. | 4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions |
| Share of homes off market in two weeks | 30.3% | Down from 32% | |
| Median days on market | 48 | +6 days | |
| Share of homes sold above list price | 23% | Down from 26% | |
| Average sale-to-list price ratio | 98.4% | Down from 98.7% | |
| Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending Oct. 19, 2025
Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy. |
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|---|---|---|---|
| Metros with biggest year-over-year increases | Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases | Notes | |
| Median sale price | Cleveland (12%)
Detroit (8.3%) Newark, NJ (7.7%) San Francisco (6.7%) Providence, RI (6%) |
Dallas (-5.4%)
Jacksonville, FL (-3.7%) Fort Lauderdale, FL (-1.9%) Miami (-1.8%) Denver (-1.7%) |
Declined in 12 metros |
| Pending sales | Tampa, FL (32.9%)
West Palm Beach, FL (18.5%) San Francisco (12.9%) Pittsburgh (10.5%) Fort Lauderdale, FL (8.8%) |
Seattle (-17.3%)
San Antonio (-17%) Denver (-13.5%) Minneapolis (-8.8%) New York (-8.7%) |
Pending sales rose significantly in coastal Florida largely because two major hurricanes stalled the state’s housing market at this time last year |
| New listings | Tampa, FL (34.6%)
Providence, RI (11.2%) West Palm Beach, FL (11.1%) Pittsburgh (10.2%) Phoenix (9.6%) |
Denver (-12.8%)
San Francisco (-9.4%) Anaheim, CA (-7.8%) San Jose, CA (-7.8%) San Diego (-7.2%) |
New listings rose significantly in coastal Florida largely because two major hurricanes stalled the state’s housing market at this time last year |
To view the full report, including an interactive graphic showing how purchasing power changes at various mortgage rates, along with other charts, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-mortgage-rates-drop-buyers-stay-on-sidelines
About Redfin
Redfin is a technology-driven real estate company with the country’s most-visited real estate brokerage website. As part of Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT), Redfin is creating an integrated homeownership platform from search to close to make the dream of homeownership more affordable and accessible for everyone. Redfin’s clients can see homes first with on-demand tours, easily apply for a home loan with Rocket Mortgage, and save thousands in fees while working with a top local agent.
You can find more information about Redfin and get the latest housing market data and research at Redfin.com/news. For more information about Rocket Companies, visit RocketCompanies.com.
Contact Redfin Journalist Services:
Tana Kelley
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