U.S. Home Prices Rose 0.3% in October

  • U.S. home prices rose 0.3% from a month earlier in October on a seasonally adjusted basis.
  • Home prices increased 2.9% year over year, down from 3.1% in September and the slowest growth since 2012.
  • Prices fell in 14 of the 50 most populous U.S. metros, down from 37 metros posting drops in July. The biggest declines were in Fort Lauderdale, FL (-1.4%) and Philadelphia (-0.6%).

U.S. home prices climbed 0.3% month over month in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, following a 0.2% gain in September. 

Prices rose 2.9% from a year earlier, ticking down from September’s 3.1% year-over-year increase and continuing the gradual slowdown from earlier in the year, when prices were rising more than 5% annually.

This is according to the Redfin Home Price Index (RHPI), which uses the repeat-sales pricing method to calculate seasonally adjusted changes in single-family home prices. The RHPI measures how sale prices of homes have changed since their previous sale, similar to the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, but is reported about a month earlier. October data covers the three months ending October 31, 2025. Read the full RHPI methodology here.

Home price growth slowed earlier this year because active listings were rising considerably, giving buyers more options and power to negotiate. Inventory growth has slowed in recent months, however, which has in turn helped push prices slightly higher.

“Home prices are ticking up as the market continues to move sideways,” said Redfin Head of Economics Research Chen Zhao. “With demand still historically low, the slowdown in fresh supply and the shortage of buyers are largely offsetting each other. Fewer metros are seeing month-to-month price declines than they were over the summer, but that doesn’t signal a pickup in demand. Sales are still slow, and many buyers who don’t need to move are staying on the sidelines. The sellers who are listing now often need to move, but it’s hard to attract buyers in a market where affordability is stretched and uncertainty remains high.”

Home prices falling in fewer metros than earlier in the year

Home prices fell in 14 of the 50 most populous U.S. metros on a seasonally adjusted basis in October, down from 20 in September and 30 in August. That marks the third straight month in which fewer metros posted declines.

 

The share of metros with falling prices has swung sharply in recent years as borrowing costs and buyer demand have shifted. Virtually no metros saw declines in 2020 or 2021, when low mortgage rates fueled record-breaking competition. The trend reversed in mid-2022 as rates surged, with nearly four in five metros recording monthly price drops by September of that year. The market steadied through 2023, only to see another soft patch in mid-2025, when a surge in inventory led to 37 metros posting declines in July. 

Home prices fell the most in October month over month in Fort Lauderdale (-1%), Philadelphia (-0.6%) and Dallas (-0.3%), while prices climbed most in San Francisco (+1.7%), Chicago (+1.4%), and West Palm Beach, FL (+1.1%). 

Cleveland (+10.1%), Chicago (+9.8%), and Milwaukee (+9.4%) posted the largest year-over-year gains, while Tampa, FL (-3.6%), Austin (-3.4%), and Dallas (-2.4%) recorded the biggest declines.

Mark Worley

Mark Worley

As a data journalist, Mark helps to explain the range of economic factors impacting the housing market. Prior to joining Redfin, he spent seven years in content operations at real-time information company Dataminr, following reporting and editing roles in Australia, SE Asia and the Middle East.

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