From Our Economists
Trump Orders $200B Mortgage Bond Buy, Which Will Likely Nudge Rates Down Slightly to 6%
The ultimate impact of such a move would likely be limited because this would be a relatively small asset purchase program, by historical standards. President
Banning Corporate Landlords Won’t Fix the Housing Affordability Crisis. Building More Homes Just Might.
This piece was originally published to Forbes on March 4, 2024. President Trump has proposed a ban on big institutional investors buying single-family homes. A
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: First Jobs Report of 2026 Could Impact Mortgage Rates
This Week In A Nutshell The first jobs report of 2026—and the first “normal” report post-government shutdown—will be published on Friday. We’ll be on the
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Remain Steady Despite Problematic Inflation, Jobs Reports
This Week In A Nutshell Mortgage rates are flat despite a much lower than expected inflation report and slightly weak jobs report last week
Mortgage Rates Stay Relatively Flat After Noisy Inflation Data
Takeaway: Core CPI inflation came in at 2.6% year over year, much lower than consensus expectations of 3.0%. That’s the largest difference between expectations and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Remain Unchanged Following Mixed October, November Jobs Data
October and November jobs data came in cooler than expected, but the long government shutdown muddies the waters. The jobs report alone won’t push the
Soft September Jobs Report May Give Fed Reason to Pause Rate Hikes, Slowing Ascent of Mortgage Rates
Takeaway: A soft jobs report may finally offer some relief for mortgage rates, or at least help to stem the march upward. Jobs data is
Mortgage Rates Jump as Markets Price in More Fed Rate Hikes
In A Nutshell: Mortgage rates have shot up as a number of economic concerns come together in a perfect storm. There’s little on the horizon to
In the Aftermath of Last Week’s Rate Hike, Fed Officials Will Speak This Week
In A Nutshell: A light economic calendar this week means the focus will be on digesting last week’s Fed meeting, and on any geopolitical developments.
Mortgage Rates Are Likely to Stay High as Fed Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come
Takeaway: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and officially projected another hike this year, but Chairman Warsh’s remarks suggest more may be on
Markets Have Priced in a Fed Rate Hike This Week, But The Economic Case Is Far From a Slam Dunk
In A Nutshell: After last week’s inflation data, markets are almost certain a Fed rate hike is coming this Wednesday, but the economic case is
Why Homebuyers Have More Negotiating Power Right Now
Homebuyers have something they haven’t had much of in recent years: leverage. There were nearly 58% more home sellers than buyers in August—the biggest gap