From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Fed Cuts for First Time in 2025
Takeaway: Rates will remain mostly steady after the Fed executed the already priced-in 25 bps cut and painted a muddy picture in their projection for
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Homebuyers Wait to See How Mortgage Rates Move When Fed Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Rates fell after a spike in unemployment insurance claims overshadowed inflation data that was mostly benign, further propelling fears about
Mortgage Rates To Fall a Bit More Today as Jobless Claims Jump and Inflation Posts Steady Growth
Takeaway: Mortgage rates will ease a little bit more today as a jump in unemployment insurance claims overshadows a CPI inflation report showing an expected
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Inflation Data Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
Last Week In A Nutshell Weak labor market data indicates that the economy is at risk of a recession, meaning the Fed needs to start
Mortgage Rates to Fall to the Lowest Level in Almost a Year on Today’s Weak Jobs Report
Today’s weak jobs report all but guarantees that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, and that’s
Methodology: Estimating the Number of Buyers and Sellers in the Housing Market
Redfin publishes estimates on the number of homebuyers and sellers active in the U.S. housing market via reports on our news site and a dashboard
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Waits on Data to Inform Potential September Cut
The Fed held rates steady at its July meeting on Wednesday, as expected, despite dissents from two officials. All options are on the table for
Eliminating Tax on Home Sellers’ Capital Gains Would Have Mixed Results for the Housing Market
President Trump said this week that he is considering removing capital gains tax for home sales. Home sellers who lived in their home for two
September Rate Cut on the Table After Mixed June Inflation Report
Mortgage rates will remain largely unchanged after inflation came in just below expectations in June, leaving the door open for a September Fed rate cut.
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Stronger-Than-Expected Jobs Report
The U.S. added more jobs than expected in June, and the unemployment rate declined despite expectations that it would increase. Mortgage rates may rise slightly
Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged as More Officials Predict No Cuts This Year Amid Economic Uncertainty
Mortgage rates will remain steady after the Fed left rates unchanged at its June meeting, as expected. The Fed maintained a forecast of two rate
Mortgage Rates to Stay Flat After Mild May Inflation Report
A milder-than-expected May CPI report is unlikely to shift mortgage rates because tariff-induced inflation remains a threat and the Fed will continue to hold off
