From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Fed Cuts for First Time in 2025
Takeaway: Rates will remain mostly steady after the Fed executed the already priced-in 25 bps cut and painted a muddy picture in their projection for
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Homebuyers Wait to See How Mortgage Rates Move When Fed Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Rates fell after a spike in unemployment insurance claims overshadowed inflation data that was mostly benign, further propelling fears about
Mortgage Rates To Fall a Bit More Today as Jobless Claims Jump and Inflation Posts Steady Growth
Takeaway: Mortgage rates will ease a little bit more today as a jump in unemployment insurance claims overshadows a CPI inflation report showing an expected
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Inflation Data Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
Last Week In A Nutshell Weak labor market data indicates that the economy is at risk of a recession, meaning the Fed needs to start
Mortgage Rates to Fall to the Lowest Level in Almost a Year on Today’s Weak Jobs Report
Today’s weak jobs report all but guarantees that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, and that’s
Methodology: Estimating the Number of Buyers and Sellers in the Housing Market
Redfin publishes estimates on the number of homebuyers and sellers active in the U.S. housing market via reports on our news site and a dashboard
How to Buy, Sell or Rent a Home Amid Economic Uncertainty
With markets remaining volatile following President Trump’s announcement of new tariffs earlier this month, Redfin’s Economics Lead Chen Zhao outlines what buyers, sellers and renters
Mortgage Rates Unlikely to Benefit from Cooling Inflation
Core CPI was much lower than expected in March, largely because of deterioration in travel-related costs. However, mortgage rates won’t drop much today because tariffs
Mortgage Rates Will Fall Today Despite Stronger-Than-Expected Jobs Report
The U.S. added more jobs than expected in March. But markets are focused on tariffs, which will have a much bigger impact on mortgage rates:
Fed Holds Rates Steady Amid Ongoing Economic Uncertainty
Mortgages rates will mostly remain unchanged for now after the Fed held rates steady at its March meeting and built in expectations for higher inflation
What Does a Potential Recession Mean for Housing?
The odds of a recession have increased significantly following several weeks of dramatic government policy shifts. The housing market is relatively insulated from a downturn
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Inflation Eased More Than Expected in February
Inflation in February came in lower than expected, but the monthly report is less promising under the hood. With the added impact of extensive new
