From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Fed Cuts for First Time in 2025
Takeaway: Rates will remain mostly steady after the Fed executed the already priced-in 25 bps cut and painted a muddy picture in their projection for
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Homebuyers Wait to See How Mortgage Rates Move When Fed Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Rates fell after a spike in unemployment insurance claims overshadowed inflation data that was mostly benign, further propelling fears about
Mortgage Rates To Fall a Bit More Today as Jobless Claims Jump and Inflation Posts Steady Growth
Takeaway: Mortgage rates will ease a little bit more today as a jump in unemployment insurance claims overshadows a CPI inflation report showing an expected
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Inflation Data Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
Last Week In A Nutshell Weak labor market data indicates that the economy is at risk of a recession, meaning the Fed needs to start
Mortgage Rates to Fall to the Lowest Level in Almost a Year on Today’s Weak Jobs Report
Today’s weak jobs report all but guarantees that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, and that’s
Methodology: Estimating the Number of Buyers and Sellers in the Housing Market
Redfin publishes estimates on the number of homebuyers and sellers active in the U.S. housing market via reports on our news site and a dashboard
Assessing the Potential Impact of Tariffs on the U.S. Housing Market
President Trump plans to impose tariffs of 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on imports from China, starting Saturday. While the situation
Mortgage Rates to Remain Steady After Fed Pauses Cuts
The Fed held rates steady on Wednesday, as expected, and appears to be in no hurry to resume cuts. Mortgage rates are expected to remain
President Trump’s Day-One Actions Will Push Mortgage Rates Down Slightly
President Trump’s day-one executive order on housing signals that tackling the housing affordability crisis in the U.S. will be a priority. His remarks on tariffs
Mortgage Rates Will Fall Slightly After Today’s CPI Report Shows Softer-Than-Expected Core Inflation
The December CPI report should reverse the jump in mortgage rates we saw last week after a strong jobs report, but political uncertainty and economic
Mortgage Rates to Rise After Strong Jobs Report Defies Recession Fears
A surprisingly strong December jobs report defies recession fears and will keep the Fed in a holding pattern for the foreseeable future. Mortgage rates will
Mortgage Rates Fall Ahead of Potential Government Shutdown
Mortgage rates are seeing some relief today following a number of important economic developments. What’s driving the move in rates? Here’s our take: Potential government
