From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Fed Cuts for First Time in 2025
Takeaway: Rates will remain mostly steady after the Fed executed the already priced-in 25 bps cut and painted a muddy picture in their projection for
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Homebuyers Wait to See How Mortgage Rates Move When Fed Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Rates fell after a spike in unemployment insurance claims overshadowed inflation data that was mostly benign, further propelling fears about
Mortgage Rates To Fall a Bit More Today as Jobless Claims Jump and Inflation Posts Steady Growth
Takeaway: Mortgage rates will ease a little bit more today as a jump in unemployment insurance claims overshadows a CPI inflation report showing an expected
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Inflation Data Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
Last Week In A Nutshell Weak labor market data indicates that the economy is at risk of a recession, meaning the Fed needs to start
Mortgage Rates to Fall to the Lowest Level in Almost a Year on Today’s Weak Jobs Report
Today’s weak jobs report all but guarantees that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, and that’s
Methodology: Estimating the Number of Buyers and Sellers in the Housing Market
Redfin publishes estimates on the number of homebuyers and sellers active in the U.S. housing market via reports on our news site and a dashboard
Hot Jobs Report Likely to Push Mortgage Rates Up
The stronger-than-expected May jobs report will reverse mortgage-rate declines from the last two weeks. But ultimately, the Fed’s decision about interest rates will be decided
Today’s Inflation Report Should Bring Mortgage Rates Down Slightly, A Relief For Homebuyers
The April CPI report came in just a tad softer than expected, which means mortgage rates should come down slightly and leaves open the possibility
Mortgage Rates Are Likely to Decline Slightly With Soft April Jobs Report
The April jobs report is a step in the right direction for homebuyers. It should cause mortgage rates to decline slightly, and it puts 2024
Today’s Fed Meeting Unlikely to Send Mortgage Rates Up or Down
In their May 1 meeting, the Fed held interest rates steady and didn’t take the possibility of rate cuts later this year off the table.
Hotter-Than-Expected Inflation Report Will Keep Mortgage Rates Higher For Longer
The March inflation report came in hotter than expected, which means the Fed is highly unlikely to cut interest rates in June–and could mean the
Hot Jobs Report Could Cause Fed to Delay Rate Cuts
Employment growth was strong in March, which ultimately means mortgage rates are likely to stay higher for longer. But next week’s inflation data is the
