From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Fed Cuts for First Time in 2025
Takeaway: Rates will remain mostly steady after the Fed executed the already priced-in 25 bps cut and painted a muddy picture in their projection for
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Homebuyers Wait to See How Mortgage Rates Move When Fed Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Rates fell after a spike in unemployment insurance claims overshadowed inflation data that was mostly benign, further propelling fears about
Mortgage Rates To Fall a Bit More Today as Jobless Claims Jump and Inflation Posts Steady Growth
Takeaway: Mortgage rates will ease a little bit more today as a jump in unemployment insurance claims overshadows a CPI inflation report showing an expected
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Inflation Data Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
Last Week In A Nutshell Weak labor market data indicates that the economy is at risk of a recession, meaning the Fed needs to start
Mortgage Rates to Fall to the Lowest Level in Almost a Year on Today’s Weak Jobs Report
Today’s weak jobs report all but guarantees that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, and that’s
Methodology: Estimating the Number of Buyers and Sellers in the Housing Market
Redfin publishes estimates on the number of homebuyers and sellers active in the U.S. housing market via reports on our news site and a dashboard
Mortgage Rates Unaffected, Fed Likely to Hold Rates Steady on Latest Inflation Data
Takeaway: Today’s CPI data should have little effect on mortgage rates. The report came in better than last month, but that was expected. It should
This Week’s Inflation and Sentiment Data May Clarify the Fed’s Path
This Week In A Nutshell: With the Strait of Hormuz still closed and fresh off a hot jobs report last week, rates are at risk
Strong Jobs Report Pushes Mortgage Rates Higher, Reopening the Door to Future Fed Hikes
Takeaway: Today’s jobs report will lead to higher mortgage rates as it is strong enough to open the door for Fed officials to debate hikes
Mortgage Rates Poised for Volatility This Week as Jobs Data, Iran News Loom
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to stay volatile this week as markets balance several important pieces of jobs market data against the
Mortgage Rates Remain Tied to Iran War, Oil Prices
This Week In A Nutshell: Three months in, the Iran war is still driving rates more than economic data. There are a few important economics
Iran Tensions, Not Economic Data, Are Driving Mortgage Rates This Week
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to move more on headlines out of Iran than on economic data. If peace talks show real
