From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Fed Cuts for First Time in 2025
Takeaway: Rates will remain mostly steady after the Fed executed the already priced-in 25 bps cut and painted a muddy picture in their projection for
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Homebuyers Wait to See How Mortgage Rates Move When Fed Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Rates fell after a spike in unemployment insurance claims overshadowed inflation data that was mostly benign, further propelling fears about
Mortgage Rates To Fall a Bit More Today as Jobless Claims Jump and Inflation Posts Steady Growth
Takeaway: Mortgage rates will ease a little bit more today as a jump in unemployment insurance claims overshadows a CPI inflation report showing an expected
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Inflation Data Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
Last Week In A Nutshell Weak labor market data indicates that the economy is at risk of a recession, meaning the Fed needs to start
Mortgage Rates to Fall to the Lowest Level in Almost a Year on Today’s Weak Jobs Report
Today’s weak jobs report all but guarantees that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, and that’s
Methodology: Estimating the Number of Buyers and Sellers in the Housing Market
Redfin publishes estimates on the number of homebuyers and sellers active in the U.S. housing market via reports on our news site and a dashboard
Fed in Wait-and-See Mode on Hot Inflation Report; Mortgage Rates to Track Oil Prices, Mideast Talks
Takeaway: A slightly hotter than expected CPI report will keep the Fed on hold and may push officials slightly closer to considering hikes. Mortgage rates
Introducing the New & Improved Redfin Data Center
Monthly housing market data is now available sooner New metrics—including home purchase cancellations, price drops, financing trends, and luxury and starter home data—are now available
Mortgage Rates May Swing This Week As Markets Watch Inflation and Iran Developments
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to stay choppy this week as markets weigh new inflation data on Tuesday against any developments in
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady After April Jobs Report Shows Stronger Hiring, Softer Wages
Takeaway: A mixed bag April jobs report will keep mortgage rates mostly steady as stronger-than-expected hiring lowers recession risk. But softer wage growth, a small
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Volatile Rates Ahead as Fed Turns Hawkish and Energy Shock Builds
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to remain volatile this week. Markets are balancing a still-solid economy against the worsening energy shock, a
Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Rare Dissents Signal Cloudy Outlook For Future Path
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its April 29 meeting. Takeaway: Mortgage rates may rise slightly as Jerome Powell’s last Fed meeting as
