From Our Economists
Latest Inflation Report Points to an Uncertain Path Ahead for the Fed and Mortgage Rates
Takeaway: A higher-than-expected inflation report has markets anticipating a Fed rate hike next Wednesday, but there’s more room than usual for markets to be surprised.
This Week’s Inflation Data Could Be Deciding Factor in Whether the Fed Hikes Rates
Here’s our weekly economic update for the week of September 8. In A Nutshell: There’s much more uncertainty than usual heading into next week’s Fed
Hot Jobs Report Slightly Increases Odds of a Fed Rate Hike This Month
Takeaway: A hot jobs report will put upward pressure on rates today as it slightly increases the odds of a rate hike at the September
New Listings Hit a 4-Year High, A Silver Lining for Today’s Buyers
More homes are hitting the market, giving buyers across much of the country more options and negotiating power. The problem? Buyers aren’t exactly rushing
Mortgage Rates Could Swing as Markets Brace for a September Fed Meeting
In A Nutshell: Rates could wobble quite a bit over the next two weeks leading up to the September 16th Fed meeting as Chair Warsh’s
Canadian Tariffs, Inflation Numbers Unlikely to Move Mortgage Rates as Markets Await Jackson Hole Address
In a Nutshell: With an absence of economic data, geopolitics and the Fed are once again moving rates as markets carefully monitor negotiations with Iran
Mortgage Rates Keep Rising Because the Economy Keeps Growing
When the 10-year treasury yield increases, mortgage rates increase. Several factors are causing the treasury yield to rise, including a resilient job market and consumers
September’s Inflation Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Up or Down
September’s CPI report came in just a touch above expectations, but not enough to change our outlook for the Fed’s next move. They’re still unlikely
Today’s Hot Jobs Report is Pushing Mortgage Rates Up, But It Shouldn’t Be
The Fed will look at the big picture–including the fact that rates have already increased so much recently–when considering a November rate hike. At first
Climate Change Pushes Up Home Insurance Premiums
Originally published to Forbes on September 18, 2023. A recent study from PolicyGenius found that quoted homeowner’s insurance premiums increased by 21% nationally from May 2022
4 Ways to Buy Your First Home, Even as Affordability Worsens
Originally published to Forbes on September 12, 2023. For many young Americans, the dream of owning a home feels less like a middle-class milestone and more
How Would a Government Shutdown Impact the Housing Market? Low Demand in D.C., Temporary Dip in Mortgage Rates, Loan Delays
The impact of a federal government shutdown on the economy and the U.S. housing market would likely be small, unless it lasts much longer than