From Our Economists
Expect Mortgage-Rate Volatility Amid Uncertainty Heading Into Warsh’s 2nd Meeting as Fed Chair
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are elevated and likely to remain volatile with risks on three fronts: oil prices, AI-driven inflation, and a newly
Mortgage Rates to Fall as Cooler-Than-Expected Inflation Report Lowers Odds of a July Fed Rate Hike
Takeaway: Rates will fall today after an unexpectedly soft CPI inflation reading that will keep the Fed from hiking at the July 29th meeting. Inflation
Gen Z Is Creating A New Path To Prosperity
This piece was originally published on Forbes on June 8, 2026. Gen Z is coming of age in an economy where the traditional path to
Congress Takes Historic Step on Housing Affordability with Bipartisan ROAD to Housing Act
Passed unanimously out of the Senate Banking Committee, the ROAD to Housing Act embraces solutions to the housing affordability crisis like zoning reform and streamlining
Mortgage Rates Likely to Stay High For Now as Markets Digest Warsh’s First Fed Meeting
Takeaway: He’s no one’s sock puppet! Now that Kevin Warsh has the job, he’s ready to make changes. It will take markets a while to
Markets Eye Strait of Hormuz Reopening and Warsh’s First Fed Meeting as Key Tests This Week
This Week In A Nutshell: It’s going to be a big week with an announced deal that may open the Strait of Hormuz by Friday
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
