From Our Economists
Latest Inflation Report Points to an Uncertain Path Ahead for the Fed and Mortgage Rates
Takeaway: A higher-than-expected inflation report has markets anticipating a Fed rate hike next Wednesday, but there’s more room than usual for markets to be surprised.
This Week’s Inflation Data Could Be Deciding Factor in Whether the Fed Hikes Rates
Here’s our weekly economic update for the week of September 8. In A Nutshell: There’s much more uncertainty than usual heading into next week’s Fed
Hot Jobs Report Slightly Increases Odds of a Fed Rate Hike This Month
Takeaway: A hot jobs report will put upward pressure on rates today as it slightly increases the odds of a rate hike at the September
New Listings Hit a 4-Year High, A Silver Lining for Today’s Buyers
More homes are hitting the market, giving buyers across much of the country more options and negotiating power. The problem? Buyers aren’t exactly rushing
Mortgage Rates Could Swing as Markets Brace for a September Fed Meeting
In A Nutshell: Rates could wobble quite a bit over the next two weeks leading up to the September 16th Fed meeting as Chair Warsh’s
Canadian Tariffs, Inflation Numbers Unlikely to Move Mortgage Rates as Markets Await Jackson Hole Address
In a Nutshell: With an absence of economic data, geopolitics and the Fed are once again moving rates as markets carefully monitor negotiations with Iran
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
