From Our Economists
Assessing the Potential Impact of Tariffs on the U.S. Housing Market
President Trump plans to impose tariffs of 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on imports from China, starting Saturday. While the situation
Mortgage Rates to Remain Steady After Fed Pauses Cuts
The Fed held rates steady on Wednesday, as expected, and appears to be in no hurry to resume cuts. Mortgage rates are expected to remain
President Trump’s Day-One Actions Will Push Mortgage Rates Down Slightly
President Trump’s day-one executive order on housing signals that tackling the housing affordability crisis in the U.S. will be a priority. His remarks on tariffs
Mortgage Rates Will Fall Slightly After Today’s CPI Report Shows Softer-Than-Expected Core Inflation
The December CPI report should reverse the jump in mortgage rates we saw last week after a strong jobs report, but political uncertainty and economic
Mortgage Rates to Rise After Strong Jobs Report Defies Recession Fears
A surprisingly strong December jobs report defies recession fears and will keep the Fed in a holding pattern for the foreseeable future. Mortgage rates will
Mortgage Rates Fall Ahead of Potential Government Shutdown
Mortgage rates are seeing some relief today following a number of important economic developments. What’s driving the move in rates? Here’s our take: Potential government
Trump Orders $200B Mortgage Bond Buy, Which Will Likely Nudge Rates Down Slightly to 6%
The ultimate impact of such a move would likely be limited because this would be a relatively small asset purchase program, by historical standards. President
Banning Corporate Landlords Won’t Fix the Housing Affordability Crisis. Building More Homes Just Might.
This piece was originally published to Forbes on March 4, 2024. President Trump has proposed a ban on big institutional investors buying single-family homes. A
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: First Jobs Report of 2026 Could Impact Mortgage Rates
This Week In A Nutshell The first jobs report of 2026—and the first “normal” report post-government shutdown—will be published on Friday. We’ll be on the
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Remain Steady Despite Problematic Inflation, Jobs Reports
This Week In A Nutshell Mortgage rates are flat despite a much lower than expected inflation report and slightly weak jobs report last week
Mortgage Rates Stay Relatively Flat After Noisy Inflation Data
Takeaway: Core CPI inflation came in at 2.6% year over year, much lower than consensus expectations of 3.0%. That’s the largest difference between expectations and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Remain Unchanged Following Mixed October, November Jobs Data
October and November jobs data came in cooler than expected, but the long government shutdown muddies the waters. The jobs report alone won’t push the
