From Our Economists
Assessing the Potential Impact of Tariffs on the U.S. Housing Market
President Trump plans to impose tariffs of 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on imports from China, starting Saturday. While the situation
Mortgage Rates to Remain Steady After Fed Pauses Cuts
The Fed held rates steady on Wednesday, as expected, and appears to be in no hurry to resume cuts. Mortgage rates are expected to remain
President Trump’s Day-One Actions Will Push Mortgage Rates Down Slightly
President Trump’s day-one executive order on housing signals that tackling the housing affordability crisis in the U.S. will be a priority. His remarks on tariffs
Mortgage Rates Will Fall Slightly After Today’s CPI Report Shows Softer-Than-Expected Core Inflation
The December CPI report should reverse the jump in mortgage rates we saw last week after a strong jobs report, but political uncertainty and economic
Mortgage Rates to Rise After Strong Jobs Report Defies Recession Fears
A surprisingly strong December jobs report defies recession fears and will keep the Fed in a holding pattern for the foreseeable future. Mortgage rates will
Mortgage Rates Fall Ahead of Potential Government Shutdown
Mortgage rates are seeing some relief today following a number of important economic developments. What’s driving the move in rates? Here’s our take: Potential government
Fed Projects Rates Will Be Higher For Longer, Upping Chance of Elevated Mortgage Rates Into Next Year
The Fed increased projections for 2024 and 2025 rates at its September meeting, though it kept rates unchanged for now. That will likely keep mortgage
The UAW Strike Could Be a Drag on the U.S. Economy: Here’s the Good News and Bad News For the Housing Market
The United Auto Workers strike could hamper U.S. economic growth and potentially encourage the Fed to lower interest rates, which would bring down mortgage rates.
Disappointing Inflation Report Increases Odds of a November or December Rate Hike
The Fed remains unlikely to hike rates at next week’s policy meeting The latest inflation report on consumer prices in August came in a hair
Nepo-Homebuyers: 40% of Under 30s Received Family Money for Down Payment
Originally published to Forbes on August 21, 2023. An eye-popping 38% of recent homebuyers under age 30 used either a cash gift from a family member
September Rate Hike Increasingly Unlikely After This Week’s Jobs Report
The August jobs report keeps the probability of the Fed hiking interest rates in September very low. That could be promising for homebuyers watching for
Here’s Why Mortgage Rates Are Still So High Despite All the Good News on Inflation
Despite the fact that promising inflation data has led to expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates soon, mortgage rates remain above 7%. That’s