From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
Fed on Course to Cut Rates Next Week After As-Expected Inflation Report
Inflation data came in as expected in November, meaning that mortgage rates will stay steady as the Fed remains on course with market expectations to
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Slightly Cool Jobs Report
A slightly cool, but mostly as expected, November jobs report locks in another 25 bps cut at the Federal Reserve’s December 18 meeting, barring an
2024 Local Election Results Show Voters are Willing to Spend Big on Affordable Housing
The 2024 election results show that voters are willing to greenlight big spending to fund affordable housing. Across the country, cities and states approved hundreds
The Potential Impact of Immigration Policies on Housing
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration plans to “seal the border” and deport millions of undocumented migrants from the United States, starting in 2025. The housing
Today’s CPI Report Shouldn’t Have a Big Impact on Mortgage Rates, But It Increases the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut in December
CPI inflation reported today came in largely as expected. That increases the odds of a December Fed rate cut, but the determining factor will be
How to Buy, Sell or Rent a Home Amid Economic Uncertainty
With markets remaining volatile following President Trump’s announcement of new tariffs earlier this month, Redfin’s Economics Lead Chen Zhao outlines what buyers, sellers and renters
Mortgage Rates Unlikely to Benefit from Cooling Inflation
Core CPI was much lower than expected in March, largely because of deterioration in travel-related costs. However, mortgage rates won’t drop much today because tariffs
Mortgage Rates Will Fall Today Despite Stronger-Than-Expected Jobs Report
The U.S. added more jobs than expected in March. But markets are focused on tariffs, which will have a much bigger impact on mortgage rates:
Fed Holds Rates Steady Amid Ongoing Economic Uncertainty
Mortgages rates will mostly remain unchanged for now after the Fed held rates steady at its March meeting and built in expectations for higher inflation
What Does a Potential Recession Mean for Housing?
The odds of a recession have increased significantly following several weeks of dramatic government policy shifts. The housing market is relatively insulated from a downturn
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Inflation Eased More Than Expected in February
Inflation in February came in lower than expected, but the monthly report is less promising under the hood. With the added impact of extensive new
