From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
Fed on Course to Cut Rates Next Week After As-Expected Inflation Report
Inflation data came in as expected in November, meaning that mortgage rates will stay steady as the Fed remains on course with market expectations to
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Slightly Cool Jobs Report
A slightly cool, but mostly as expected, November jobs report locks in another 25 bps cut at the Federal Reserve’s December 18 meeting, barring an
2024 Local Election Results Show Voters are Willing to Spend Big on Affordable Housing
The 2024 election results show that voters are willing to greenlight big spending to fund affordable housing. Across the country, cities and states approved hundreds
The Potential Impact of Immigration Policies on Housing
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration plans to “seal the border” and deport millions of undocumented migrants from the United States, starting in 2025. The housing
Today’s CPI Report Shouldn’t Have a Big Impact on Mortgage Rates, But It Increases the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut in December
CPI inflation reported today came in largely as expected. That increases the odds of a December Fed rate cut, but the determining factor will be
Mortgage Rates May Tick Down After Soft February Jobs Report
A mildly disappointing February jobs report may lead to a small tick down on mortgage rates as investors price in expectations for future labor market
What Homebuyers and Sellers Need to Know about New Real Estate Rules
If you’re looking to buy or sell a home this year, there are new rules around how buyers’ agents are paid that you need to
Mortgage Rates Stay Volatile as U.S. Imposes New Tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China
Mortgage rates fell to 6.64% on Tuesday as the U.S. imposed broad-based tariffs against Canada, Mexico and China. The new tariffs kicked off a trade
Volatile Hotel Prices—Not Rents—Pushed January Inflation Numbers Higher
January’s inflation report came in hotter than expected, with the shelter category increasing 0.4%—up from 0.3% in recent months. While the overall shelter inflation component
Mortgage Rates to Climb After Hotter-Than-Expected January Inflation Report
January’s inflation report came in hotter than expected, though some of the “surprise” is due to start-of-the-year effects that have become more pronounced in recent
Mortgage Rates May Bounce a Little After Mixed January Jobs Report
Takeaway: The January jobs report was a mixed bag, but generally pointed to a stronger-than-expected labor market. Mortgage rates may see a little bounce off