From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
Fed on Course to Cut Rates Next Week After As-Expected Inflation Report
Inflation data came in as expected in November, meaning that mortgage rates will stay steady as the Fed remains on course with market expectations to
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Slightly Cool Jobs Report
A slightly cool, but mostly as expected, November jobs report locks in another 25 bps cut at the Federal Reserve’s December 18 meeting, barring an
2024 Local Election Results Show Voters are Willing to Spend Big on Affordable Housing
The 2024 election results show that voters are willing to greenlight big spending to fund affordable housing. Across the country, cities and states approved hundreds
The Potential Impact of Immigration Policies on Housing
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration plans to “seal the border” and deport millions of undocumented migrants from the United States, starting in 2025. The housing
Today’s CPI Report Shouldn’t Have a Big Impact on Mortgage Rates, But It Increases the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut in December
CPI inflation reported today came in largely as expected. That increases the odds of a December Fed rate cut, but the determining factor will be
Mortgage Rates Unaffected, Fed Likely to Hold Rates Steady on Latest Inflation Data
Takeaway: Today’s CPI data should have little effect on mortgage rates. The report came in better than last month, but that was expected. It should
This Week’s Inflation and Sentiment Data May Clarify the Fed’s Path
This Week In A Nutshell: With the Strait of Hormuz still closed and fresh off a hot jobs report last week, rates are at risk
Strong Jobs Report Pushes Mortgage Rates Higher, Reopening the Door to Future Fed Hikes
Takeaway: Today’s jobs report will lead to higher mortgage rates as it is strong enough to open the door for Fed officials to debate hikes
Mortgage Rates Poised for Volatility This Week as Jobs Data, Iran News Loom
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to stay volatile this week as markets balance several important pieces of jobs market data against the
Mortgage Rates Remain Tied to Iran War, Oil Prices
This Week In A Nutshell: Three months in, the Iran war is still driving rates more than economic data. There are a few important economics
Iran Tensions, Not Economic Data, Are Driving Mortgage Rates This Week
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to move more on headlines out of Iran than on economic data. If peace talks show real
