From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
Fed on Course to Cut Rates Next Week After As-Expected Inflation Report
Inflation data came in as expected in November, meaning that mortgage rates will stay steady as the Fed remains on course with market expectations to
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Slightly Cool Jobs Report
A slightly cool, but mostly as expected, November jobs report locks in another 25 bps cut at the Federal Reserve’s December 18 meeting, barring an
2024 Local Election Results Show Voters are Willing to Spend Big on Affordable Housing
The 2024 election results show that voters are willing to greenlight big spending to fund affordable housing. Across the country, cities and states approved hundreds
The Potential Impact of Immigration Policies on Housing
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration plans to “seal the border” and deport millions of undocumented migrants from the United States, starting in 2025. The housing
Today’s CPI Report Shouldn’t Have a Big Impact on Mortgage Rates, But It Increases the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut in December
CPI inflation reported today came in largely as expected. That increases the odds of a December Fed rate cut, but the determining factor will be
Fed in Wait-and-See Mode on Hot Inflation Report; Mortgage Rates to Track Oil Prices, Mideast Talks
Takeaway: A slightly hotter than expected CPI report will keep the Fed on hold and may push officials slightly closer to considering hikes. Mortgage rates
Introducing the New & Improved Redfin Data Center
Monthly housing market data is now available sooner New metrics—including home purchase cancellations, price drops, financing trends, and luxury and starter home data—are now available
Mortgage Rates May Swing This Week As Markets Watch Inflation and Iran Developments
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to stay choppy this week as markets weigh new inflation data on Tuesday against any developments in
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady After April Jobs Report Shows Stronger Hiring, Softer Wages
Takeaway: A mixed bag April jobs report will keep mortgage rates mostly steady as stronger-than-expected hiring lowers recession risk. But softer wage growth, a small
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Volatile Rates Ahead as Fed Turns Hawkish and Energy Shock Builds
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to remain volatile this week. Markets are balancing a still-solid economy against the worsening energy shock, a
Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Rare Dissents Signal Cloudy Outlook For Future Path
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at its April 29 meeting. Takeaway: Mortgage rates may rise slightly as Jerome Powell’s last Fed meeting as
