From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
Fed on Course to Cut Rates Next Week After As-Expected Inflation Report
Inflation data came in as expected in November, meaning that mortgage rates will stay steady as the Fed remains on course with market expectations to
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Slightly Cool Jobs Report
A slightly cool, but mostly as expected, November jobs report locks in another 25 bps cut at the Federal Reserve’s December 18 meeting, barring an
2024 Local Election Results Show Voters are Willing to Spend Big on Affordable Housing
The 2024 election results show that voters are willing to greenlight big spending to fund affordable housing. Across the country, cities and states approved hundreds
The Potential Impact of Immigration Policies on Housing
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration plans to “seal the border” and deport millions of undocumented migrants from the United States, starting in 2025. The housing
Today’s CPI Report Shouldn’t Have a Big Impact on Mortgage Rates, But It Increases the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut in December
CPI inflation reported today came in largely as expected. That increases the odds of a December Fed rate cut, but the determining factor will be
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: There’s a Fed Meeting on Deck, But White House Policy Is Biggest Driver of Mortgage Rates
This Week In A Nutshell: There’s a Fed meeting on Wednesday, but it’s unlikely to move mortgage rates. The key driver of rates recently have
Trump Showcases Housing Affordability Proposals at Davos: Banning Corporate Landlords, $200B Mortgage-Bond Purchase
President Trump called for a ban on Wall Street investors purchasing single-family homes, and reiterated an order for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Rates Climb, All Eyes On Trump’s Davos Housing Agenda
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are climbing to kick off the week after turmoil in the Japanese bond market and President Trump’s intensified rhetoric
Mortgage Rates Expected to Stay Put After Today’s Mild Inflation Report
Takeaway: Mortgage rates are unlikely to move after a mild inflation report still marred by government shutdown-related distortions. Looking through the statistical issues, inflation likely
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Dipped After Trump’s Mortgage-Bond Move, Fed Turmoil and Inflation Data Loom
This Week In A Nutshell: Mortgage rates dropped last week after President Trump announced $200B of MBS purchases. This week starts with news of the
Mixed Jobs Report Unlikely to Move Mortgage Rates Further
Takeaway: Another low hire-low fire jobs report leaves the Fed on track to leave rates alone for the next couple of meetings as expected, implying mortgage rates will
