From Our Economists
Expect Mortgage Rates to Remain Elevated and Volatile as as Markets Digest Election Results
Rates are inching down slightly after shooting up before the election—volatility that’s to be expected as investors try to figure out the impact of a
Mortgage Rates to Fall a Little After Weak Jobs Report, But All Eyes on Election
A much weaker-than-expected October jobs report will reverse a very small part of the recent climb in mortgage rates. But they will remain elevated relative
Mortgage Rates Won’t Budge Much After Warmer-Than-Expected CPI Report
A tad warmer-than-expected September inflation report will keep mortgage rates at the levels they’ve risen to since last Friday’s blowout jobs report. With the Fed
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher Following Surprisingly Strong Jobs Report
A much stronger-than-expected September jobs report pushed mortgage rates up from 6.26% to 6.53% today. Debate about Federal Reserve rate cuts will now shift from
Mortgage Rates Are Unlikely to Fall Much Further, Even With the Fed’s Upcoming Rate Cuts
Mortgage rates fell from over 7% to 6.1% over the summer, as markets anticipated the Fed’s September 18 interest-rate cut. Now that the cut has
Mortgage Rates Unlikely to Move Much, Despite Fed’s Decision to Cut Big
The Fed split the difference, relative to market expectations, by cutting rates by 50 bps today, but projecting only more gradual cuts from here on
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
Fed on Course to Cut Rates Next Week After As-Expected Inflation Report
Inflation data came in as expected in November, meaning that mortgage rates will stay steady as the Fed remains on course with market expectations to
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Slightly Cool Jobs Report
A slightly cool, but mostly as expected, November jobs report locks in another 25 bps cut at the Federal Reserve’s December 18 meeting, barring an
2024 Local Election Results Show Voters are Willing to Spend Big on Affordable Housing
The 2024 election results show that voters are willing to greenlight big spending to fund affordable housing. Across the country, cities and states approved hundreds
The Potential Impact of Immigration Policies on Housing
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration plans to “seal the border” and deport millions of undocumented migrants from the United States, starting in 2025. The housing
Today’s CPI Report Shouldn’t Have a Big Impact on Mortgage Rates, But It Increases the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut in December
CPI inflation reported today came in largely as expected. That increases the odds of a December Fed rate cut, but the determining factor will be
