From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Remain Steady After Fed Pauses Cuts
The Fed held rates steady on Wednesday, as expected, and appears to be in no hurry to resume cuts. Mortgage rates are expected to remain
President Trump’s Day-One Actions Will Push Mortgage Rates Down Slightly
President Trump’s day-one executive order on housing signals that tackling the housing affordability crisis in the U.S. will be a priority. His remarks on tariffs
Mortgage Rates Will Fall Slightly After Today’s CPI Report Shows Softer-Than-Expected Core Inflation
The December CPI report should reverse the jump in mortgage rates we saw last week after a strong jobs report, but political uncertainty and economic
Mortgage Rates to Rise After Strong Jobs Report Defies Recession Fears
A surprisingly strong December jobs report defies recession fears and will keep the Fed in a holding pattern for the foreseeable future. Mortgage rates will
Mortgage Rates Fall Ahead of Potential Government Shutdown
Mortgage rates are seeing some relief today following a number of important economic developments. What’s driving the move in rates? Here’s our take: Potential government
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
This Week’s Inflation and Sentiment Data May Clarify the Fed’s Path
This Week In A Nutshell: With the Strait of Hormuz still closed and fresh off a hot jobs report last week, rates are at risk
Strong Jobs Report Pushes Mortgage Rates Higher, Reopening the Door to Future Fed Hikes
Takeaway: Today’s jobs report will lead to higher mortgage rates as it is strong enough to open the door for Fed officials to debate hikes
Mortgage Rates Poised for Volatility This Week as Jobs Data, Iran News Loom
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to stay volatile this week as markets balance several important pieces of jobs market data against the
Mortgage Rates Remain Tied to Iran War, Oil Prices
This Week In A Nutshell: Three months in, the Iran war is still driving rates more than economic data. There are a few important economics
Iran Tensions, Not Economic Data, Are Driving Mortgage Rates This Week
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are likely to move more on headlines out of Iran than on economic data. If peace talks show real
Fed in Wait-and-See Mode on Hot Inflation Report; Mortgage Rates to Track Oil Prices, Mideast Talks
Takeaway: A slightly hotter than expected CPI report will keep the Fed on hold and may push officials slightly closer to considering hikes. Mortgage rates