From Our Economists
Latest Jobs Data Makes March Rate Cut Slightly Less Likely
A look below the surface reveals a less-hot picture of the late-2023 labor market than the hot December jobs headline suggests. The latest jobs report
Today’s Fed Meeting Brings Good Vibes For Homebuyers, Pushing Mortgage Rates Below 7% For First Time Since July
The Fed’s forecast that it will cut interest rates three times in 2024, up from a previous projection of two times, is already helping with
Promising Inflation Report Makes It Less Likely Buyers Will See an 8% Mortgage Rate Anytime Soon
Serious homebuyers should be on the lookout for a good time to lock in a lower mortgage rate–and now could be that time. The October
Rates are Falling on News of a Softening Job Market. Now May Be a Good Time to Lock in a Mortgage.
The latest labor-market report closes out a week of good news for mortgage rates. The October jobs report shows slower-than-expected growth in the labor market,
Economic Events Are Pushing Mortgage Rates Down … For Now. Homebuyers May Want to Lock in a Rate This Week.
The U.S. treasury announced they’re going to issue less long-term debt than expected and the Fed held interest rates steady. Those two events brought rates
Mortgage Rates Keep Rising Because the Economy Keeps Growing
When the 10-year treasury yield increases, mortgage rates increase. Several factors are causing the treasury yield to rise, including a resilient job market and consumers
Banning Corporate Landlords Won’t Fix the Housing Affordability Crisis. Building More Homes Just Might.
This piece was originally published to Forbes on March 4, 2024. President Trump has proposed a ban on big institutional investors buying single-family homes. A
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: First Jobs Report of 2026 Could Impact Mortgage Rates
This Week In A Nutshell The first jobs report of 2026—and the first “normal” report post-government shutdown—will be published on Friday. We’ll be on the
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Remain Steady Despite Problematic Inflation, Jobs Reports
This Week In A Nutshell Mortgage rates are flat despite a much lower than expected inflation report and slightly weak jobs report last week
Mortgage Rates Stay Relatively Flat After Noisy Inflation Data
Takeaway: Core CPI inflation came in at 2.6% year over year, much lower than consensus expectations of 3.0%. That’s the largest difference between expectations and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Remain Unchanged Following Mixed October, November Jobs Data
October and November jobs data came in cooler than expected, but the long government shutdown muddies the waters. The jobs report alone won’t push the
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Flat After Fed Cut, All Eyes on Incoming Jobs and Inflation Data
This Week In A Nutshell Mortgage rates are flat after the Fed cut rates last week, as expected, while also communicating that it’ll likely