From Our Economists
Expect Mortgage-Rate Volatility Amid Uncertainty Heading Into Warsh’s 2nd Meeting as Fed Chair
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are elevated and likely to remain volatile with risks on three fronts: oil prices, AI-driven inflation, and a newly
Mortgage Rates to Fall as Cooler-Than-Expected Inflation Report Lowers Odds of a July Fed Rate Hike
Takeaway: Rates will fall today after an unexpectedly soft CPI inflation reading that will keep the Fed from hiking at the July 29th meeting. Inflation
Gen Z Is Creating A New Path To Prosperity
This piece was originally published on Forbes on June 8, 2026. Gen Z is coming of age in an economy where the traditional path to
Congress Takes Historic Step on Housing Affordability with Bipartisan ROAD to Housing Act
Passed unanimously out of the Senate Banking Committee, the ROAD to Housing Act embraces solutions to the housing affordability crisis like zoning reform and streamlining
Mortgage Rates Likely to Stay High For Now as Markets Digest Warsh’s First Fed Meeting
Takeaway: He’s no one’s sock puppet! Now that Kevin Warsh has the job, he’s ready to make changes. It will take markets a while to
Markets Eye Strait of Hormuz Reopening and Warsh’s First Fed Meeting as Key Tests This Week
This Week In A Nutshell: It’s going to be a big week with an announced deal that may open the Strait of Hormuz by Friday
Latest Inflation Report Points to an Uncertain Path Ahead for the Fed and Mortgage Rates
Takeaway: A higher-than-expected inflation report has markets anticipating a Fed rate hike next Wednesday, but there’s more room than usual for markets to be surprised.
This Week’s Inflation Data Could Be Deciding Factor in Whether the Fed Hikes Rates
Here’s our weekly economic update for the week of September 8. In A Nutshell: There’s much more uncertainty than usual heading into next week’s Fed
Hot Jobs Report Slightly Increases Odds of a Fed Rate Hike This Month
Takeaway: A hot jobs report will put upward pressure on rates today as it slightly increases the odds of a rate hike at the September
New Listings Hit a 4-Year High, A Silver Lining for Today’s Buyers
More homes are hitting the market, giving buyers across much of the country more options and negotiating power. The problem? Buyers aren’t exactly rushing
Mortgage Rates Could Swing as Markets Brace for a September Fed Meeting
In A Nutshell: Rates could wobble quite a bit over the next two weeks leading up to the September 16th Fed meeting as Chair Warsh’s
Canadian Tariffs, Inflation Numbers Unlikely to Move Mortgage Rates as Markets Await Jackson Hole Address
In a Nutshell: With an absence of economic data, geopolitics and the Fed are once again moving rates as markets carefully monitor negotiations with Iran
