From Our Economists
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Rates Likely to Hold Steady–Unless Fed Meeting or Iran War Rattle Markets
This Week In A Nutshell: Mortgage rates are likely to remain fairly steady this week. Upcoming Attractions The key event on the docket this
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Fed Succession as Mortgage-Rate Swings Ease
This Week In A Nutshell: Mortgage-rate volatility has moderated as the United States and Iran near a peace agreement, but succession drama at the Federal
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Hold Steady, but Iran Ceasefire Talks Keep Risk of Sudden Swings on the Table
This Week In A Nutshell: Mortgage rates have been steadier for the last few weeks. But the risk of outsized mortgage moves remains as markets
Fed, Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady on Latest Inflation Report
Takeaway: Headline inflation, which includes food and energy prices, spiked in March, but rates won’t move much today because core inflation, which ignores those volatile
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Iran War Drives Mortgage Rate Volatility as Markets Brace for Inflation Data
This Week In A Nutshell: With the Iran War stretching into its sixth week, mortgage rates will continue to ebb and flow with new developments.
Seemingly Strong March Jobs Report Won’t Impact Mortgage Rates Much
Takeaway: The March jobs report, which is hot on its surface, will not move rates much. The underlying fundamentals of the report are weaker than
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
Fed on Course to Cut Rates Next Week After As-Expected Inflation Report
Inflation data came in as expected in November, meaning that mortgage rates will stay steady as the Fed remains on course with market expectations to
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Slightly Cool Jobs Report
A slightly cool, but mostly as expected, November jobs report locks in another 25 bps cut at the Federal Reserve’s December 18 meeting, barring an
2024 Local Election Results Show Voters are Willing to Spend Big on Affordable Housing
The 2024 election results show that voters are willing to greenlight big spending to fund affordable housing. Across the country, cities and states approved hundreds
The Potential Impact of Immigration Policies on Housing
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration plans to “seal the border” and deport millions of undocumented migrants from the United States, starting in 2025. The housing
Today’s CPI Report Shouldn’t Have a Big Impact on Mortgage Rates, But It Increases the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut in December
CPI inflation reported today came in largely as expected. That increases the odds of a December Fed rate cut, but the determining factor will be
