From Our Economists
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
Trump Orders $200B Mortgage Bond Buy, Which Will Likely Nudge Rates Down Slightly to 6%
The ultimate impact of such a move would likely be limited because this would be a relatively small asset purchase program, by historical standards. President
Banning Corporate Landlords Won’t Fix the Housing Affordability Crisis. Building More Homes Just Might.
This piece was originally published to Forbes on March 4, 2024. President Trump has proposed a ban on big institutional investors buying single-family homes. A
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: First Jobs Report of 2026 Could Impact Mortgage Rates
This Week In A Nutshell The first jobs report of 2026—and the first “normal” report post-government shutdown—will be published on Friday. We’ll be on the
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Remain Steady Despite Problematic Inflation, Jobs Reports
This Week In A Nutshell Mortgage rates are flat despite a much lower than expected inflation report and slightly weak jobs report last week
Mortgage Rates Stay Relatively Flat After Noisy Inflation Data
Takeaway: Core CPI inflation came in at 2.6% year over year, much lower than consensus expectations of 3.0%. That’s the largest difference between expectations and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Remain Unchanged Following Mixed October, November Jobs Data
October and November jobs data came in cooler than expected, but the long government shutdown muddies the waters. The jobs report alone won’t push the
