From Our Economists
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Flat After Fed Cut, All Eyes on Incoming Jobs and Inflation Data
This Week In A Nutshell Mortgage rates are flat after the Fed cut rates last week, as expected, while also communicating that it’ll likely
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady in Wake of Fed’s Interest-Rate Cut
The Fed’s December interest-rate cut won’t move mortgage rates because markets have already priced it in. The Fed cut interest rates in its latest meeting,
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Fed Poised to Make Expected Rate Cut, But 2026 Projections Could Jolt Mortgage Rates
This Week In A Nutshell Markets expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 bps when they meet on Wednesday, meaning the cut
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates May Bounce Around Ahead of Fed Meeting
This Week In A Nutshell Rates fell last week as financial markets increasingly priced in a rate cut at next Wednesday’s Fed meeting, but an
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Odds Firm for December Rate Cut Despite Limited Data
This Week In A Nutshell Rates are a little lower with investors more hopeful for a rate cut at the December 10 Fed meeting after
Mortgage Rates to Hold Firm as Delayed Jobs Report Shows Unemployment at 4-Year High
Rates will stay mostly steady today after the delayed September jobs report showed both a rising unemployment rate, and strong but concentrated jobs growth in
