From Our Economists
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Lack of Fresh Economic Data May Prevent December Rate Cut
This Week In A Nutshell With the government open, mortgage rates may wobble as we digest the September jobs report this Thursday and hear from
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Fresh Government Data Could Bring Mortgage Rate Volatility
This Week In A Nutshell The government shutdown looks likely to end this week, which means a flurry of fresh economic data over the next
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: No End in Sight for Government Shutdown
This Week In A Nutshell Rates have reset about 15-20 bps higher following last week’s Fed meeting. This week’s Fed speeches could help flesh out
Mortgage Rates to Tick Up After Fed Signals That December Cut Isn’t Guaranteed
Mortgage rates will tick up after Fed Chair Powell sent a strong signal that a December rate cut—that markets have already priced in—is far from
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Stable Ahead of Expected Fed Cut
This Week In A Nutshell Rates are steady heading into the week following a cool inflation report last Friday, but they could rise even if
Cool Inflation Data Gives Fed a Green Light to Keep Cutting Rates
Mortgage rates will stay near recent lows as cooler-than-expected inflation data allows the Fed to keep cutting. Core inflation, the key metric that excludes food
