From Our Economists
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Waits on Data to Inform Potential September Cut
The Fed held rates steady at its July meeting on Wednesday, as expected, despite dissents from two officials. All options are on the table for
Eliminating Tax on Home Sellers’ Capital Gains Would Have Mixed Results for the Housing Market
President Trump said this week that he is considering removing capital gains tax for home sales. Home sellers who lived in their home for two
September Rate Cut on the Table After Mixed June Inflation Report
Mortgage rates will remain largely unchanged after inflation came in just below expectations in June, leaving the door open for a September Fed rate cut.
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Stronger-Than-Expected Jobs Report
The U.S. added more jobs than expected in June, and the unemployment rate declined despite expectations that it would increase. Mortgage rates may rise slightly
Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged as More Officials Predict No Cuts This Year Amid Economic Uncertainty
Mortgage rates will remain steady after the Fed left rates unchanged at its June meeting, as expected. The Fed maintained a forecast of two rate
Mortgage Rates to Stay Flat After Mild May Inflation Report
A milder-than-expected May CPI report is unlikely to shift mortgage rates because tariff-induced inflation remains a threat and the Fed will continue to hold off
