From Our Economists
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
Today’s Fed Meeting Unlikely to Move the Needle on Mortgage Rates
The Fed’s announcement that they’re holding interest rates steady–but still project three rate cuts in 2024–won’t immediately send mortgage rates down, but it shouldn’t send
Hotter-Than-Expected Inflation Report Will Push Mortgage Rates Up Slightly–But There’s No Reason to Panic
The latest CPI report essentially eliminates the chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in May, but they’re still likely to cut in June.
Mixed-Bag Jobs Report Keeps the Fed On Track for a June Rate Cut
The latest jobs report was a mixed bag, but homebuyers and sellers can still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in May or
January’s CPI Report Is Nail in the Coffin For March Interest-Rate Cut
The latest inflation report came in hotter than expected. For homebuyers and sellers, that means mortgage rates are likely to stay elevated for now–but we
January’s Hot Jobs Report Is Good and Bad For Homebuyers: Strong Labor Market Puts Money in Pockets, But Props Up Mortgage Rates
The latest jobs report came in stronger than expected. Together with the Fed press conference and news from the U.S. Treasury this past Wednesday, this
Today’s Fed Press Conference Was Disappointing–But Not Devastating–For the Housing Market
The Fed essentially took a March interest-rate cut off the table, which means mortgage rates are likely to stay higher for longer. But we still
