From Our Economists
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: There’s a Fed Meeting on Deck, But White House Policy Is Biggest Driver of Mortgage Rates
This Week In A Nutshell: There’s a Fed meeting on Wednesday, but it’s unlikely to move mortgage rates. The key driver of rates recently have
Trump Showcases Housing Affordability Proposals at Davos: Banning Corporate Landlords, $200B Mortgage-Bond Purchase
President Trump called for a ban on Wall Street investors purchasing single-family homes, and reiterated an order for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Rates Climb, All Eyes On Trump’s Davos Housing Agenda
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates are climbing to kick off the week after turmoil in the Japanese bond market and President Trump’s intensified rhetoric
Mortgage Rates Expected to Stay Put After Today’s Mild Inflation Report
Takeaway: Mortgage rates are unlikely to move after a mild inflation report still marred by government shutdown-related distortions. Looking through the statistical issues, inflation likely
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Dipped After Trump’s Mortgage-Bond Move, Fed Turmoil and Inflation Data Loom
This Week In A Nutshell: Mortgage rates dropped last week after President Trump announced $200B of MBS purchases. This week starts with news of the
Mixed Jobs Report Unlikely to Move Mortgage Rates Further
Takeaway: Another low hire-low fire jobs report leaves the Fed on track to leave rates alone for the next couple of meetings as expected, implying mortgage rates will