From Our Economists
Hot January Jobs Report Will Nudge Mortgage Rates Up Slightly
A stronger-than-expected jobs report is likely to push mortgage rates up a bit, but the impact will be small. The strong labor market may also
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Are Largely Lateral, All Focus Is on Upcoming Jobs Report
This Week In A Nutshell Two weak labor market reports nudged rates ever so slightly lower last week, but the star of the show
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Tick Up After Strong Manufacturing Report, Key Jobs Data Delayed
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates have drifted slightly higher today after a surprisingly strong ISM (Institute for Supply Management) report suggesting more robust manufacturing
How Climate Disasters Turn Homeowners Into Renters
This piece was originally published on Forbes on January 7, 2026. It’s been one year since the devastating wildfires in Los Angeles destroyed homes in
Trump Taps Kevin Warsh to Lead Fed; Mortgage Rates Expected to Stay Steady
President Trump announced Friday that Kevin Warsh is his choice to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed chair. Takeaway: The president’s choice to nominate Kevin Warsh
With Fed Rate Cuts on Ice, Mortgage Rates Are Unlikely to Move
The Fed held interest rates steady in its meeting on Wednesday, as expected. This marks the first time since July the Fed hasn’t cut rates.
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
