From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates Are Likely to Stay High as Fed Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come
Takeaway: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and officially projected another hike this year, but Chairman Warsh’s remarks suggest more may be on
Markets Have Priced in a Fed Rate Hike This Week, But The Economic Case Is Far From a Slam Dunk
In A Nutshell: After last week’s inflation data, markets are almost certain a Fed rate hike is coming this Wednesday, but the economic case is
Why Homebuyers Have More Negotiating Power Right Now
Homebuyers have something they haven’t had much of in recent years: leverage. There were nearly 58% more home sellers than buyers in August—the biggest gap
Latest Inflation Report Points to an Uncertain Path Ahead for the Fed and Mortgage Rates
Takeaway: A higher-than-expected inflation report has markets anticipating a Fed rate hike next Wednesday, but there’s more room than usual for markets to be surprised.
This Week’s Inflation Data Could Be Deciding Factor in Whether the Fed Hikes Rates
Here’s our weekly economic update for the week of September 8. In A Nutshell: There’s much more uncertainty than usual heading into next week’s Fed
Hot Jobs Report Slightly Increases Odds of a Fed Rate Hike This Month
Takeaway: A hot jobs report will put upward pressure on rates today as it slightly increases the odds of a rate hike at the September
2024 Local Election Results Show Voters are Willing to Spend Big on Affordable Housing
The 2024 election results show that voters are willing to greenlight big spending to fund affordable housing. Across the country, cities and states approved hundreds
The Potential Impact of Immigration Policies on Housing
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration plans to “seal the border” and deport millions of undocumented migrants from the United States, starting in 2025. The housing
Today’s CPI Report Shouldn’t Have a Big Impact on Mortgage Rates, But It Increases the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut in December
CPI inflation reported today came in largely as expected. That increases the odds of a December Fed rate cut, but the determining factor will be
Expect Mortgage Rates to Remain Elevated and Volatile as as Markets Digest Election Results
Rates are inching down slightly after shooting up before the election—volatility that’s to be expected as investors try to figure out the impact of a
Mortgage Rates to Fall a Little After Weak Jobs Report, But All Eyes on Election
A much weaker-than-expected October jobs report will reverse a very small part of the recent climb in mortgage rates. But they will remain elevated relative
Mortgage Rates Won’t Budge Much After Warmer-Than-Expected CPI Report
A tad warmer-than-expected September inflation report will keep mortgage rates at the levels they’ve risen to since last Friday’s blowout jobs report. With the Fed
