After several months of declines, new listings are posting a small improvement. Sellers are betting on mortgage rates that are closer to 6% than 7% bringing buyers off the sidelines.
New listings of U.S. homes for sale rose 0.5% from a year earlier during the four weeks ending March 8, the first increase since November.
While it’s a modest improvement, it may be a sign that some home sellers are feeling more hopeful about this spring’s housing market now that mortgage rates have dipped down to 6%. That has pushed the median monthly housing payment down 3.2% year over year, and Redfin agents in much of the country say 6% is a psychological threshold for buyers who have been waiting to jump into the market. (The daily average mortgage rate rose as high as 6.19% this week amid turmoil in the Middle East.) The improvement in new listings is partly due to sellers relisting their homes: Homeowners who pulled their homes off the market in 2025 are relisting at a record rate, betting on a stronger market this year.
Pending home sales are down 1.3% year over year, the smallest decline in over a month, and mortgage-purchase applications are up 8% week over week. Those are also signals that the market may slowly be improving as we inch toward spring. Still, many would-be buyers are sitting on the sidelines, deterred by still-high costs and economic uncertainty; a small portion say they’re putting plans on hold due to the Iran war.
There are hundreds of thousands more home sellers than buyers in the market, giving buyers negotiating power. But lower housing payments and more homes to choose from could lure some buyers off the sidelines–and some power could start shifting back to sellers.
“Heading into spring and summer, the vibe is that the market will shift from the slowness we’ve seen over the last few years,” said Justin Gomez, a Redfin Premier agent in Omaha, NE. “I’ve already seen a few bidding wars on lower–priced homes, and that may become more common if mortgage rates stay closer to 6% than 7%. We also have a fairly large pool of homes for sale, with a lot of new construction homes sitting on the market. If the spring does bring more buyers off the sidelines, those will go fast and maybe for over asking price.”
For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.
Leading indicators
| Indicators of homebuying demand and activity | ||||
| Value (if applicable) | Recent change | Year-over-year change | Source | |
| Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate | 6.19% (March 11) | Up from 4-year low of 5.99% two weeks earlier | Down from 6.72% | Mortgage News Daily |
| Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate | 6% (week ending March 5) | Up slightly from 3.5-year low of 5.98% a week earlier | Down from 6.63% | Freddie Mac |
| Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) | Up 8% from a week earlier (as of week ending March 6) | Up 11% | Mortgage Bankers Association | |
| Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted) | Up 5% from a month earlier (as of week ending March 8) | Down 16% | A measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents | |
| Google searches of “homes for sale” | Up 16% from a month earlier (as of March 9) | Up 26% | Google Trends | |
| Touring activity | Up 18% from the start of the year (as of March 9) | At this time last year, it was up 27% from the start of 2025 | ShowingTime | |
Key housing-market data
| U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending March 8, 2026
Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas and are based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision. |
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| Four weeks ending March 8, 2026 | Year-over-year change | Notes | |
| Median sale price | $385,125 | 1.2% | |
| Median asking price | $417,475 | 2% | |
| Median monthly mortgage payment | $2,611 at a 6% mortgage rate | -3.2% | |
| Pending sales | 78,811 | -1.3% | Smallest decline in over a month |
| New listings | 90,461 | 0.5% | First increase since November |
| Active listings | 1,023,623 | -2.2% | Biggest decline since 2023 |
| Months of supply | 4.6 | +0.2 pts. | 4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions |
| Share of homes off market in two weeks | 33% | Essentially unchanged | |
| Median days on market | 63 | +8 days | |
| Share of homes sold above list price | 21.1% | Down from 22% | |
| Average sale-to-list price ratio | 98.1% | Down from 98.2% | |
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Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending March 8, 2026 Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy. |
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|---|---|---|---|
| Metros with biggest year-over-year increases | Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases |
Notes |
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| Median sale price | San Francisco, CA (9.3%)
Newark, NJ (8.9%) Philadelphia (8.2%) Baltimore (8%) Pittsburgh (7.6%) |
Dallas (-5.3%)
Oakland, CA (-4.6%) Denver (-3.5%) West Palm Beach, FL (-3.1%) San Jose, CA (-2.5%) |
Declined in 17 metros |
| Pending sales | Milwaukee (12.7%)
Austin, TX (10.5%) West Palm Beach, FL (7.9%) Portland, OR (6.4%) Washington, D.C. (5.3%) |
Nassau County, NY (-22.1%)
Providence, RI (-17.8%) New Brunswick, NJ (-15.5%) Houston (-14%) Oakland, CA (-13.8%) |
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| New listings | Milwaukee, WI (26.3%)
Portland, OR (14.8%) Seattle (11.7%) San Jose, CA (8.6%) Washington, D.C. (8.6%) |
Nassau County, NY (-25.8%)
Providence, RI (-22.1%) Newark, NJ (-16.5%) New Brunswick, NJ (-14.8%) New York (-14.1%) |
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Refer to our metrics definition page for explanations of all the metrics used in this report.
