Homebuying Affordability Improves As Mortgage Rates Fall to Lowest Level in Over 3 Years

Lower rates haven’t yet brought homebuyers off the sidelines, but hope is in the air as we approach spring. 

The weekly average mortgage rate has dropped to 6.01%, its lowest level since September 2022. That has pushed the median U.S. monthly housing payment down to $2,599, 2.6% lower than a year ago. Wages are nearly 4% higher than they were a year ago, improving affordability further. 

Homebuyers have gained $34,000 in purchasing power since last year, when rates were sitting around 6.9%. 

Falling rates may bring some house hunters out of the woodwork in the coming weeks, especially as spring homebuying season begins. But for now, a lot of would-be buyers are staying on the sidelines. Pending home sales dropped 5.5% annually during the four weeks ending February 22, the biggest decline in over a year. Pending sales are falling in all but seven of the 50 most populous metros. Some sellers are holding back, too, with new listings down 2.8% year over year. 

Even though rates have come down and affordability is improving, prospective buyers have faced some headwinds since the start of the year. One, home-sale prices are still rising; they’re up 1% year over year, counteracting some of the progress made by falling mortgage rates. Two, some Americans are jittery about economic uncertainty, including concerns about layoffs and the stock market. Three, the winter has been unusually cold and snowy in many parts of the country.

“Nobody wants to go out and search for homes in ‘snowcrete,’” said Patricia Ammann, a Redfin Premier agent in Arlington, VA. “Severe winter weather has hit demand hard. We’re also still feeling some effect from last year’s federal government layoffs: People who lost their jobs were not in the housing market, and people who still had their jobs were worried about getting laid off. But those nerves are easing; I’m starting to see house hunters–especially affluent people with solid jobs–get serious about their search. There’s competition for fixed-up houses in desirable neighborhoods.”

For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page. 

Leading indicators 

 

Indicators of homebuying demand and activity
Value (if applicable) Recent change Year-over-year change Source
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate 6% (Feb. 25) Near lowest level in almost 4 years Down from 6.78% Mortgage News Daily 
Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate 6.01% (week ending Feb. 19) Lowest level since Sept. 2022 Down from 6.85% Freddie Mac
Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) Down 5% from a week earlier (as of week ending Feb. 20) Up 12% Mortgage Bankers Association 
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted) Up about 1%  from a month earlier (as of week ending Feb. 22) Down 15% A measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents
Google searches of “homes for sale” Down about 4% from a month earlier (as of Feb. 14) Up 13% Google Trends
Touring activity Up 17% from the start of the year (as of Feb. 21) At this time last year, it was up 17% from the start of 2025 ShowingTime

Key housing-market data

 

U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending Feb. 22, 2025

Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas and are based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision. 

Four weeks ending Feb. 22, 2025 Year-over-year change Notes
Median sale price $380,182 1%
Median asking price $415,197 3.5%
Median monthly mortgage payment $2,599 at a 6.01% mortgage rate -2.6%
Pending sales 71,991 -5.5% Biggest decline since Jan. 2025
New listings 80,595 -2.8%
Active listings 1,004,168 -1.8% Biggest decline since Dec. 2023
Months of supply  5.1 +0.2 pts.  4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions 
Share of homes off market in two weeks  31.1% Down from 32%
Median days on market 67 +8 days Longest in nearly 7 years
Share of homes sold above list price 19.9% Down from 21%
Average sale-to-list price ratio  97.9% Down from 98%

Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending Feb. 22, 2025

Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy. 

Metros with biggest year-over-year increases Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases Notes
Median sale price San Francisco (9.2%)

Newark, NJ (8.9%)

Milwaukee (7.1%)

Warren, MI (6.1%)

Philadelphia (5.9%)

Oakland, CA (-5.3%)

West Palm Beach, FL (-5%)

Dallas (-4.2%)

Sacramento, CA (-4%)

Boston (-3.9%)

Declined in 15 metros
Pending sales Milwaukee (8.1%)

West Palm Beach, FL (6.9%)

Jacksonville, FL (4.8%)

Portland, OR (2.9%)

Montgomery County, PA (1.9%)

Sacramento, CA (0.6%)

Denver (unchanged)

Oakland, CA (-21.7%)

Houston (-18.2%)

Nassau County, NY (-17.6%)

Nashville, TN (-17.6%)

New Brunswick, NJ (-14.9%)

Increased in 6 metros (unchanged in 1)
New listings Seattle (16.5%)

Milwaukee (13.6%)

Portland, OR (12.3%)

San Jose, CA (10.8%)

Denver (9.3%)

Nassau County, NY (-23.1%)

New York (-15.9%)

Providence, RI (-15%)

Fort Lauderdale, FL (-14.1%)

San Antonio (-13.8%)

Refer to our metrics definition page for explanations of all the metrics used in this report.

Dana Anderson

Dana Anderson

As a data journalist at Redfin, Dana Anderson writes about the numbers behind real estate trends. Redfin is a full-service real estate brokerage that uses modern technology to make clients smarter and faster. For more information about working with a Redfin real estate agent to buy or sell a home, visit our Why Redfin page.

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