Pending Sales Fall as U.S. Home Prices Hit Another Record High

Pending sales fell 3.5% year over year during the four weeks ending July 6. That was the second biggest decline since early February, trailing only last week’s 4.1% fall. The median U.S. home sale price hit a record $399,633, up 1% year over year.  

There were some encouraging signs for sellers with mortgage purchase applications rising 9% from a week ago as the weekly average mortgage rate dropped to 6.67%, the lowest level since early April. Touring activity is up 25% from the start of the year and Google searches for “homes for sale” are at the highest level in a year.

“Some homes are moving fast, others are seeing multiple price reductions,” said James Gulden, a Redfin Premier agent in Boston. “It’s not location or price-tier specific; the mixed results permeate in every corner of the market. Prices are still as high as they have ever been, but with homes sitting longer, the market is slowly turning in buyers’ favor.”

For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page. 

Leading indicators 

Indicators of homebuying demand and activity
Value (if applicable) Recent change Year-over-year change Source
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate 6.77% (July 9) Up slightly from 6.73% a week earlier Down from 7.01% Mortgage News Daily 
Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate 6.67% (week ending July 3) Lowest level since early April Down from 6.95% Freddie Mac
Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) Up 9% from a week earlier (as of week ending July 4) Up 25% Mortgage Bankers Association 
Touring activity Up 26% from the start of the year (as of July 3) At this time last year, it was up 16% from the start of 2024 ShowingTime, a home touring technology company
Google searches for “home for sale” Highest level in a year (as of July 9) Up 11% Google Trends 
We excluded the Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index this week to ensure data accuracy.

Key housing-market data

U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending July 6, 2025

Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas, and are based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision. 

Four weeks ending July 6, 2025 Year-over-year change Notes
Median sale price $399,633 1.0% All-time high
Median asking price $409,973 3.6%
Median monthly mortgage payment $2,708 at a 6.67% mortgage rate 1.8% Lowest level since early March
Pending sales 82,218 -3.5%
New listings 92,347 -0.3% Third consecutive week with a decline
Active listings 1,163,431 12.3% Smallest increase since February 2024
Months of supply  4.0 +0.3 pts.  4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions 
Share of homes off market in two weeks  35.9% Down from 39.8%
Median days on market 37 +5 days
Share of homes sold above list price 28.2% Down from 31.9%
Average sale-to-list price ratio  99.1% Down from 99.5%

 

Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending July 6, 2025

Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy. 

Metros with biggest year-over-year increases

Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases Notes
Median sale price Detroit (11.4%)

Cleveland (11.0%)

Newark, NJ (8.8%)

Nassau County, NY(7.9%)

Cincinnati (6.9%)

Oakland, CA (-6.2%)

West Palm Beach, FL (-5.2%)

Austin, TX (-4.2%)

Tampa, FL (-3.4%)

Atlanta (-3.2%)

Declined in 14 metros
Pending sales Virginia Beach, VA (8.5%)

Warren, MI (6.5%)

San Francisco (6.3%)

Columbus, OH (2.9%)

Milwaukee (2.9%)

Las Vegas (-18.0%)

Orlando, FL (-16.2%)

Houston (-15.6%)

San Jose, CA (-15.2%)

Tampa, FL (-15.1%)

Declined in all but 11 metros
New listings Baltimore, MD (10.6%)

Montgomery County, PA (10.5%)

Cleveland (8.9%)

Warren, MI (8.4%)

Phoenix (6.6%)

Tampa, FL (-18%)

Orlando, FL (-17%)

Riverside, CA (-16.5%)

San Diego (-15.1%)

Jacksonville, FL (-15.1%)

Refer to our metrics definition page for explanations of all the metrics used in this report.

Mark Worley

Mark Worley

As a data journalist, Mark helps to explain the range of economic factors impacting the housing market. Prior to joining Redfin, he spent seven years in content operations at real-time information company Dataminr, following reporting and editing roles in Australia, SE Asia and the Middle East.

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