From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Fed Cuts for First Time in 2025
Takeaway: Rates will remain mostly steady after the Fed executed the already priced-in 25 bps cut and painted a muddy picture in their projection for
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Homebuyers Wait to See How Mortgage Rates Move When Fed Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Rates fell after a spike in unemployment insurance claims overshadowed inflation data that was mostly benign, further propelling fears about
Mortgage Rates To Fall a Bit More Today as Jobless Claims Jump and Inflation Posts Steady Growth
Takeaway: Mortgage rates will ease a little bit more today as a jump in unemployment insurance claims overshadows a CPI inflation report showing an expected
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Inflation Data Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
Last Week In A Nutshell Weak labor market data indicates that the economy is at risk of a recession, meaning the Fed needs to start
Mortgage Rates to Fall to the Lowest Level in Almost a Year on Today’s Weak Jobs Report
Today’s weak jobs report all but guarantees that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, and that’s
Methodology: Estimating the Number of Buyers and Sellers in the Housing Market
Redfin publishes estimates on the number of homebuyers and sellers active in the U.S. housing market via reports on our news site and a dashboard
Expect Mortgage Rates to Remain Elevated and Volatile as as Markets Digest Election Results
Rates are inching down slightly after shooting up before the election—volatility that’s to be expected as investors try to figure out the impact of a
Mortgage Rates to Fall a Little After Weak Jobs Report, But All Eyes on Election
A much weaker-than-expected October jobs report will reverse a very small part of the recent climb in mortgage rates. But they will remain elevated relative
Mortgage Rates Won’t Budge Much After Warmer-Than-Expected CPI Report
A tad warmer-than-expected September inflation report will keep mortgage rates at the levels they’ve risen to since last Friday’s blowout jobs report. With the Fed
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher Following Surprisingly Strong Jobs Report
A much stronger-than-expected September jobs report pushed mortgage rates up from 6.26% to 6.53% today. Debate about Federal Reserve rate cuts will now shift from
Mortgage Rates Are Unlikely to Fall Much Further, Even With the Fed’s Upcoming Rate Cuts
Mortgage rates fell from over 7% to 6.1% over the summer, as markets anticipated the Fed’s September 18 interest-rate cut. Now that the cut has
Mortgage Rates Unlikely to Move Much, Despite Fed’s Decision to Cut Big
The Fed split the difference, relative to market expectations, by cutting rates by 50 bps today, but projecting only more gradual cuts from here on
