From Our Economists
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Room for Mortgage Rates to Edge Lower if Jobs and Inflation Data is Weak
Last Week In A Nutshell A quiet week was capped by a surprisingly dovish speech from Fed Chair Powell, who set the stage for the
Mortgage Rates Fall After Powell Signals September Cut in Jackson Hole Speech
Mortgage rates fell on Friday after Chair Powell used his annual Jackson Hole speech to set the stage for a rate cut at the Fed’s
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Markets Bet on September Rate Cut Ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech
Last Week In A Nutshell Mortgage rates fell and markets got excited last week after a fairly benign CPI report drove expectations of rate cuts
September Rate Cut Likely After As-Expected July Inflation Report
Mortgage rates will stay flat today following an as-expected inflation report that keeps the Fed on track for a rate cut on September 17. Inflation
Redfin Weekly Economics Update – August 11
August 11, 2025 Last Week In A Nutshell: Last week saw no market moving economic data, leaving markets to mull over the July jobs report
Mortgage Rates to Fall Following Weak July Jobs Report
Mortgage rates will fall today following a weaker-than-expected jobs report that increases the odds of a September rate cut. U.S. employers added 73,000 jobs in
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
Fed on Course to Cut Rates Next Week After As-Expected Inflation Report
Inflation data came in as expected in November, meaning that mortgage rates will stay steady as the Fed remains on course with market expectations to
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Slightly Cool Jobs Report
A slightly cool, but mostly as expected, November jobs report locks in another 25 bps cut at the Federal Reserve’s December 18 meeting, barring an
2024 Local Election Results Show Voters are Willing to Spend Big on Affordable Housing
The 2024 election results show that voters are willing to greenlight big spending to fund affordable housing. Across the country, cities and states approved hundreds
The Potential Impact of Immigration Policies on Housing
President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration plans to “seal the border” and deport millions of undocumented migrants from the United States, starting in 2025. The housing
Today’s CPI Report Shouldn’t Have a Big Impact on Mortgage Rates, But It Increases the Odds of a Fed Rate Cut in December
CPI inflation reported today came in largely as expected. That increases the odds of a December Fed rate cut, but the determining factor will be