From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Hold Steady After Fed Cuts for First Time in 2025
Takeaway: Rates will remain mostly steady after the Fed executed the already priced-in 25 bps cut and painted a muddy picture in their projection for
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Homebuyers Wait to See How Mortgage Rates Move When Fed Cuts
Last Week In A Nutshell Rates fell after a spike in unemployment insurance claims overshadowed inflation data that was mostly benign, further propelling fears about
Mortgage Rates To Fall a Bit More Today as Jobless Claims Jump and Inflation Posts Steady Growth
Takeaway: Mortgage rates will ease a little bit more today as a jump in unemployment insurance claims overshadows a CPI inflation report showing an expected
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: All Eyes on Inflation Data Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
Last Week In A Nutshell Weak labor market data indicates that the economy is at risk of a recession, meaning the Fed needs to start
Mortgage Rates to Fall to the Lowest Level in Almost a Year on Today’s Weak Jobs Report
Today’s weak jobs report all but guarantees that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17 meeting, and that’s
Methodology: Estimating the Number of Buyers and Sellers in the Housing Market
Redfin publishes estimates on the number of homebuyers and sellers active in the U.S. housing market via reports on our news site and a dashboard
Soft September Jobs Report May Give Fed Reason to Pause Rate Hikes, Slowing Ascent of Mortgage Rates
Takeaway: A soft jobs report may finally offer some relief for mortgage rates, or at least help to stem the march upward. Jobs data is
Mortgage Rates Jump as Markets Price in More Fed Rate Hikes
In A Nutshell: Mortgage rates have shot up as a number of economic concerns come together in a perfect storm. There’s little on the horizon to
In the Aftermath of Last Week’s Rate Hike, Fed Officials Will Speak This Week
In A Nutshell: A light economic calendar this week means the focus will be on digesting last week’s Fed meeting, and on any geopolitical developments.
Mortgage Rates Are Likely to Stay High as Fed Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come
Takeaway: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and officially projected another hike this year, but Chairman Warsh’s remarks suggest more may be on
Markets Have Priced in a Fed Rate Hike This Week, But The Economic Case Is Far From a Slam Dunk
In A Nutshell: After last week’s inflation data, markets are almost certain a Fed rate hike is coming this Wednesday, but the economic case is
Why Homebuyers Have More Negotiating Power Right Now
Homebuyers have something they haven’t had much of in recent years: leverage. There were nearly 58% more home sellers than buyers in August—the biggest gap
