From Our Economists
Fed Holds Rates Steady, Waits on Data to Inform Potential September Cut
The Fed held rates steady at its July meeting on Wednesday, as expected, despite dissents from two officials. All options are on the table for
Eliminating Tax on Home Sellers’ Capital Gains Would Have Mixed Results for the Housing Market
President Trump said this week that he is considering removing capital gains tax for home sales. Home sellers who lived in their home for two
September Rate Cut on the Table After Mixed June Inflation Report
Mortgage rates will remain largely unchanged after inflation came in just below expectations in June, leaving the door open for a September Fed rate cut.
Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Stronger-Than-Expected Jobs Report
The U.S. added more jobs than expected in June, and the unemployment rate declined despite expectations that it would increase. Mortgage rates may rise slightly
Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged as More Officials Predict No Cuts This Year Amid Economic Uncertainty
Mortgage rates will remain steady after the Fed left rates unchanged at its June meeting, as expected. The Fed maintained a forecast of two rate
Mortgage Rates to Stay Flat After Mild May Inflation Report
A milder-than-expected May CPI report is unlikely to shift mortgage rates because tariff-induced inflation remains a threat and the Fed will continue to hold off
Soft September Jobs Report May Give Fed Reason to Pause Rate Hikes, Slowing Ascent of Mortgage Rates
Takeaway: A soft jobs report may finally offer some relief for mortgage rates, or at least help to stem the march upward. Jobs data is
Mortgage Rates Jump as Markets Price in More Fed Rate Hikes
In A Nutshell: Mortgage rates have shot up as a number of economic concerns come together in a perfect storm. There’s little on the horizon to
In the Aftermath of Last Week’s Rate Hike, Fed Officials Will Speak This Week
In A Nutshell: A light economic calendar this week means the focus will be on digesting last week’s Fed meeting, and on any geopolitical developments.
Mortgage Rates Are Likely to Stay High as Fed Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come
Takeaway: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and officially projected another hike this year, but Chairman Warsh’s remarks suggest more may be on
Markets Have Priced in a Fed Rate Hike This Week, But The Economic Case Is Far From a Slam Dunk
In A Nutshell: After last week’s inflation data, markets are almost certain a Fed rate hike is coming this Wednesday, but the economic case is
Why Homebuyers Have More Negotiating Power Right Now
Homebuyers have something they haven’t had much of in recent years: leverage. There were nearly 58% more home sellers than buyers in August—the biggest gap