From Our Economists
Latest Inflation Report Points to an Uncertain Path Ahead for the Fed and Mortgage Rates
Takeaway: A higher-than-expected inflation report has markets anticipating a Fed rate hike next Wednesday, but there’s more room than usual for markets to be surprised.
This Week’s Inflation Data Could Be Deciding Factor in Whether the Fed Hikes Rates
Here’s our weekly economic update for the week of September 8. In A Nutshell: There’s much more uncertainty than usual heading into next week’s Fed
Hot Jobs Report Slightly Increases Odds of a Fed Rate Hike This Month
Takeaway: A hot jobs report will put upward pressure on rates today as it slightly increases the odds of a rate hike at the September
New Listings Hit a 4-Year High, A Silver Lining for Today’s Buyers
More homes are hitting the market, giving buyers across much of the country more options and negotiating power. The problem? Buyers aren’t exactly rushing
Mortgage Rates Could Swing as Markets Brace for a September Fed Meeting
In A Nutshell: Rates could wobble quite a bit over the next two weeks leading up to the September 16th Fed meeting as Chair Warsh’s
Canadian Tariffs, Inflation Numbers Unlikely to Move Mortgage Rates as Markets Await Jackson Hole Address
In a Nutshell: With an absence of economic data, geopolitics and the Fed are once again moving rates as markets carefully monitor negotiations with Iran
Assessing the Potential Impact of Tariffs on the U.S. Housing Market
President Trump plans to impose tariffs of 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico, and 10% on imports from China, starting Saturday. While the situation
Mortgage Rates to Remain Steady After Fed Pauses Cuts
The Fed held rates steady on Wednesday, as expected, and appears to be in no hurry to resume cuts. Mortgage rates are expected to remain
President Trump’s Day-One Actions Will Push Mortgage Rates Down Slightly
President Trump’s day-one executive order on housing signals that tackling the housing affordability crisis in the U.S. will be a priority. His remarks on tariffs
Mortgage Rates Will Fall Slightly After Today’s CPI Report Shows Softer-Than-Expected Core Inflation
The December CPI report should reverse the jump in mortgage rates we saw last week after a strong jobs report, but political uncertainty and economic
Mortgage Rates to Rise After Strong Jobs Report Defies Recession Fears
A surprisingly strong December jobs report defies recession fears and will keep the Fed in a holding pattern for the foreseeable future. Mortgage rates will
Mortgage Rates Fall Ahead of Potential Government Shutdown
Mortgage rates are seeing some relief today following a number of important economic developments. What’s driving the move in rates? Here’s our take: Potential government
