From Our Economists
Mortgage Rates to Fall as Cooler-Than-Expected Inflation Report Lowers Odds of a July Fed Rate Hike
Takeaway: Rates will fall today after an unexpectedly soft CPI inflation reading that will keep the Fed from hiking at the July 29th meeting. Inflation
Gen Z Is Creating A New Path To Prosperity
This piece was originally published on Forbes on June 8, 2026. Gen Z is coming of age in an economy where the traditional path to
Congress Takes Historic Step on Housing Affordability with Bipartisan ROAD to Housing Act
Passed unanimously out of the Senate Banking Committee, the ROAD to Housing Act embraces solutions to the housing affordability crisis like zoning reform and streamlining
Mortgage Rates Likely to Stay High For Now as Markets Digest Warsh’s First Fed Meeting
Takeaway: He’s no one’s sock puppet! Now that Kevin Warsh has the job, he’s ready to make changes. It will take markets a while to
Markets Eye Strait of Hormuz Reopening and Warsh’s First Fed Meeting as Key Tests This Week
This Week In A Nutshell: It’s going to be a big week with an announced deal that may open the Strait of Hormuz by Friday
Mortgage Rates Unaffected, Fed Likely to Hold Rates Steady on Latest Inflation Data
Takeaway: Today’s CPI data should have little effect on mortgage rates. The report came in better than last month, but that was expected. It should
Mortgage Rates to Remain Steady After Fed Pauses Cuts
The Fed held rates steady on Wednesday, as expected, and appears to be in no hurry to resume cuts. Mortgage rates are expected to remain
President Trump’s Day-One Actions Will Push Mortgage Rates Down Slightly
President Trump’s day-one executive order on housing signals that tackling the housing affordability crisis in the U.S. will be a priority. His remarks on tariffs
Mortgage Rates Will Fall Slightly After Today’s CPI Report Shows Softer-Than-Expected Core Inflation
The December CPI report should reverse the jump in mortgage rates we saw last week after a strong jobs report, but political uncertainty and economic
Mortgage Rates to Rise After Strong Jobs Report Defies Recession Fears
A surprisingly strong December jobs report defies recession fears and will keep the Fed in a holding pattern for the foreseeable future. Mortgage rates will
Mortgage Rates Fall Ahead of Potential Government Shutdown
Mortgage rates are seeing some relief today following a number of important economic developments. What’s driving the move in rates? Here’s our take: Potential government
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher After Fed Projects Fewer 2025 Cuts
Editor’s Note: This post was updated to include additional analysis on Thursday December 19 Under the surface, Wednesday’s Fed projection of two rate cuts in
