From Our Economists
Inflation Cooled in February, but Markets Are Looking Past It as Iran War Clouds Outlook
Takeaway: The February CPI report showed inflation cooling, as expected. But the report will largely be ignored by markets because the data predates the war
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Mortgage Rates Poised For Volatility As Iran Conflict Escalates and Inflation Data Looms
This Week In A Nutshell: Rates may continue to be volatile as the Middle East conflict expands and new inflation data is released. Upcoming Attractions
Weak Jobs Report Unlikely to Push Mortgage Rates Down As Escalating Iran Conflict Muddies Outlook
The February jobs report is weaker than expected. The report shows that U.S. employers cut more jobs than anticipated last month, and unemployment rose–both signs
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: After Dipping Below 6%, Mortgage Rates Enter Unpredictable Week Amid Iran Tensions
This Week In A Nutshell: We’re in for an unpredictable week with potentially significant moves in rates between the ongoing Iran conflict and important job
Redfin Economists’ Weekly Take: Trade Policy, State of the Union Take Center Stage
This Week In A Nutshell: The White House’s response to the Supreme Court invalidating President Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and
Mortgage Rates Likely to Hold Steady With Inflation Risks in the Rearview Mirror
Takeaway: A mild inflation report should have little effect on mortgage rates today. Today’s data continues the narrative that the worst of inflation fears are
Expect Mortgage Rates to Remain Elevated and Volatile as as Markets Digest Election Results
Rates are inching down slightly after shooting up before the election—volatility that’s to be expected as investors try to figure out the impact of a
Mortgage Rates to Fall a Little After Weak Jobs Report, But All Eyes on Election
A much weaker-than-expected October jobs report will reverse a very small part of the recent climb in mortgage rates. But they will remain elevated relative
Mortgage Rates Won’t Budge Much After Warmer-Than-Expected CPI Report
A tad warmer-than-expected September inflation report will keep mortgage rates at the levels they’ve risen to since last Friday’s blowout jobs report. With the Fed
Mortgage Rates Jump Higher Following Surprisingly Strong Jobs Report
A much stronger-than-expected September jobs report pushed mortgage rates up from 6.26% to 6.53% today. Debate about Federal Reserve rate cuts will now shift from
Mortgage Rates Are Unlikely to Fall Much Further, Even With the Fed’s Upcoming Rate Cuts
Mortgage rates fell from over 7% to 6.1% over the summer, as markets anticipated the Fed’s September 18 interest-rate cut. Now that the cut has
Mortgage Rates Unlikely to Move Much, Despite Fed’s Decision to Cut Big
The Fed split the difference, relative to market expectations, by cutting rates by 50 bps today, but projecting only more gradual cuts from here on
